Charizard ex — Obsidian Flames #223

Charizard ex

WORTH GRADING— if it grades clean. Here's what each outcome pays:
PSA 10 multiple
7.6×
raw price
PSA 9 outcome
+$30.59
still above break-even
Grading cost
$25.00
flat estimate · PSA bulk
$89.28▲432.7% · 7draw · reference avg · n=10

Market average as of 2 days ago

If you grade it

what each outcome pays after $25.00 cost — and where break-even sits on the line
Keep raw
$89.28
sell as-is · no cost, no risk
baseline
Break-even is here
PSA 9
$144.87
the "miss" outcome — 1.6× raw
+$30.59 after cost
PSA 10
$679.37
the clean outcome — 7.6× raw
+$565.09 after cost
Anything right of the dotted line is profit.

Even a PSA 9 clears cost on this card — the downside is covered. How we compute this → methodology

Premium stability

7.6× means a PSA 10 sells for 7.6 times the raw price — a verdict is a bet on that gap holding
PSA 10 ÷ raw PSA 9 ÷ raw break-even

7-day moving average — daily sale-to-sale noise is smoothed out so the underlying trend reads clean; hover to see that average at any real sale date. Dots after Jul 9, 2026 are that day's grade market average divided by the most recently known raw price — a market signal, not an individual confirmed transaction.

Exit market

when you're done grading — who's buying, what's asking
Exit asks · eBay now
PSA 105 livelowest $775.00
PSA 99 livelowest $150.00
Raw143 livelowest $93.32
all listings on the price page →
Trade flow · sales

Day-by-day trade flow isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Grade mix · recent sales

Recent-sales grade mix isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Looking for the full price sheet?

Every tracked grade, complete sales history, and all live listings stay on the price page — this page keeps only what the grading decision needs.

Charizard ex price data →

Every number here is an observed market fact — the verdict rules that read them are public. Read the methodology →

Where to grade

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Where to buy

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The reasoning

Strong gem rate and a 4× PSA 10 premium clear the cost — a sensible grade.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.

Read the method: is a Japanese card worth grading? →