Detective Pikachu — Detective Pikachu #10/18

Detective Pikachu

WORTH GRADING— if it grades clean. Here's what each outcome pays:
PSA 10 multiple
1.8×
raw price
PSA 9 outcome
−$190.85
below break-even
Grading cost
$25.00
flat estimate · PSA bulk
$206.83▲500% · 7draw · eBay market · n=36

If you grade it

what each outcome pays after $25.00 cost — and where break-even sits on the line
Keep raw
$206.83
sell as-is · no cost, no risk
baseline
Break-even is here
PSA 9
$40.98
the "miss" outcome — 0.2× raw
−$190.85 after cost
PSA 10
$362.50
the clean outcome — 1.8× raw
+$130.67 after cost
Anything right of the dotted line is profit.

A PSA 9 doesn't clear cost on this card — only a PSA 10 pays off. How we compute this → methodology

Premium stability

1.8× means a PSA 10 sells for 1.8 times the raw price — a verdict is a bet on that gap holding
PSA 10 ÷ raw PSA 9 ÷ raw break-even

7-day moving average — daily sale-to-sale noise is smoothed out so the underlying trend reads clean; hover to see that average at any real sale date.

Exit market

when you're done grading — who's buying, what's asking
Exit asks · eBay now
PSA 103 livelowest $915.00
PSA 93 livelowest $89.99
Raw99 livelowest $6.00
all listings on the price page →
Trade flow · sales

Day-by-day trade flow isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Grade mix · recent sales

Recent-sales grade mix isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Looking for the full price sheet?

Every tracked grade, complete sales history, and all live listings stay on the price page — this page keeps only what the grading decision needs.

Detective Pikachu price data →

Every number here is an observed market fact — the verdict rules that read them are public. Read the methodology →

Where to grade

As an AGS Partner, we may be compensated if you submit through this link. The other grading services above are linked directly, with no affiliate relationship.

Where to buy

As an eBay Partner, we may be compensated if you make a purchase. This site contains affiliate links.

The reasoning

Auto-detected candidate (Keep raw on measured population data — pTop 22%, EV -$104.06) — pending editorial review.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.

Read the method: is a Japanese card worth grading? →