Mega Charizard X ex — ME02: Phantasmal Flames #125/094

Mega Charizard X ex

Verdict under review Live data revised the verdict (prior call: Worth grading → live: Keep raw). Verdict held pending editorial reconciliation; live numbers shown.
PSA 10 multiple
1.1×
raw price
PSA 9 outcome
−$568.68
below break-even
Grading cost
$25.00
flat estimate · PSA bulk
$1,409.99▲140% · 7draw · reference avg · n=213

Market average as of 1 day ago

If you grade it

what each outcome pays after $25.00 cost — and where break-even sits on the line
Keep raw
$1,409.99
sell as-is · no cost, no risk
baseline
Break-even is here
PSA 9
$866.31
the "miss" outcome — 0.6× raw
−$568.68 after cost
PSA 10
$1,539.33
the clean outcome — 1.1× raw
+$104.34 after cost
Anything right of the dotted line is profit.

A PSA 9 doesn't clear cost on this card — only a PSA 10 pays off. How we compute this → methodology

Premium stability

1.1× means a PSA 10 sells for 1.1 times the raw price — a verdict is a bet on that gap holding
PSA 10 ÷ raw PSA 9 ÷ raw break-even

7-day moving average — daily sale-to-sale noise is smoothed out so the underlying trend reads clean; hover to see that average at any real sale date. Dots after Jul 9, 2026 are that day's grade market average divided by the most recently known raw price — a market signal, not an individual confirmed transaction.

Exit market

when you're done grading — who's buying, what's asking
Exit asks · eBay now
PSA 109 livelowest $200.00
PSA 921 livelowest $675.00
Raw94 livelowest $649.97
all listings on the price page →
Trade flow · sales

Day-by-day trade flow isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Grade mix · recent sales

Recent-sales grade mix isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Looking for the full price sheet?

Every tracked grade, complete sales history, and all live listings stay on the price page — this page keeps only what the grading decision needs.

Mega Charizard X ex price data →

Every number here is an observed market fact — the verdict rules that read them are public. Read the methodology →

Where to buy

As an eBay Partner and TCGplayer affiliate, we may be compensated if you make a purchase. This site contains affiliate links.

The reasoning

Live data revised the verdict (prior call: Worth grading → live: Keep raw). Verdict held pending editorial reconciliation; live numbers shown. The card's live numbers are shown above; the written verdict is held until the editorial pass reconciles it.

Read the method: is a Japanese card worth grading? →