Groudon — SV04: Paradox Rift #199/182

Groudon

Keep raw This print's numbers don't clear the bar to recommend grading right now.
PSA 10 multiple
5.8×
raw price
PSA 9 outcome
−$23.09
below break-even
Grading cost
$25.00
flat estimate · PSA bulk
$90.09raw · reference avg · n=10

Market average as of 1 day ago

If you grade it

what each outcome pays after $25.00 cost — and where break-even sits on the line
Keep raw
$90.09
sell as-is · no cost, no risk
baseline
Break-even is here
PSA 9
$92.00
the "miss" outcome — 1.0× raw
−$23.09 after cost
PSA 10
$521.44
the clean outcome — 5.8× raw
+$406.35 after cost
Anything right of the dotted line is profit.

A PSA 9 doesn't clear cost on this card — only a PSA 10 pays off. How we compute this → methodology

Premium stability

5.8× means a PSA 10 sells for 5.8 times the raw price — a verdict is a bet on that gap holding
PSA 10 ÷ raw PSA 9 ÷ raw break-even

7-day moving average — daily sale-to-sale noise is smoothed out so the underlying trend reads clean; hover to see that average at any real sale date. Dots after Jun 26, 2026 are that day's grade market average divided by the most recently known raw price — a market signal, not an individual confirmed transaction.

Exit market

when you're done grading — who's buying, what's asking
Exit asks · eBay now
PSA 1015 livelowest $588.99
PSA 913 livelowest $120.00
Raw76 livelowest $104.00
all listings on the price page →
Trade flow · sales

Day-by-day trade flow isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Grade mix · recent sales

Recent-sales grade mix isn't live yet — tracking begins in a follow-up pass.

Looking for the full price sheet?

Every tracked grade, complete sales history, and all live listings stay on the price page — this page keeps only what the grading decision needs.

Groudon price data →

Every number here is an observed market fact — the verdict rules that read them are public. Read the methodology →

Where to buy

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The reasoning

Auto-detected candidate (Chase PSA 10 on measured population data — pTop 34%, EV +$119.66) — pending editorial review.

Full card-specific analysis renders here — written per card, never templated.

Read the method: is a Japanese card worth grading? →